Will the potential economic and political shocks, which we may have to deal with in 2017, affect the Polish economy? If so – which sectors will be affected the most? How Polish companies can avoid global risks? Are potentially negative scenarios able to become a chance for the Polish sectors and companies? These topics were discussed during „Directions2017. Negative economic shocks. Stress-tests of the Polish economy in 2017” – a prestigious annual conference organized in Poland by DNB for its customers and the financial environment.
The simulations by DNB Poland suggest that analyzed sectors seems to be more resistant to the crisis compared to 2009. If the scale of external pressure is comparable to that of 2009, most of the analyzed sectors could now expect a smaller scale weakening of revenue dynamics than the one that took place in 2009, also because in 2008 a number of sectors had very high increases (health care, telecommunications and information technology and wholesale trade) and the corrective effects of the crisis have been considerable. The exception is the production of foodstuffs, whose dynamics in 2009 improved, although taking into account the current structure of the economy it would be weakened. One category that would lose the most is retail trade (a decrease in the dynamics of macroeconomic aggregates corresponding to that of 2009 would cause a deterioration in sales growth of almost 13 percentage points).
This year conference was held under the patronage of the Polish Information and Foreign Investment Agency (PAIiIZ) as well as the leading economic journals: Rzeczpospolita and Parkiet. We hosted almost 200 Guests.